According to FranceAgriMer, France would harvest 28.9 Mt of soft wheat and 6.2 Mt of grain corn in 2026, 47% less corn than in 2025 (balance sheets of 14 October 2026).
Analysis: Aziz Laaziz · data as of
Balance sheet as of
14/10/2026
12 days ago
| Crop | 2026/27 production | 2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soft wheat | 28,899 kt | 30,461 kt | -5.1% |
| Barley | 9,241 kt | 9,891 kt | -6.6% |
| Grain corn | 6,194 kt | 11,623 kt | -46.7% |
| Durum wheat | 1,026 kt | 1,205 kt | -14.9% |
FranceAgriMer projections for the 2026/27 season, provisional figures for 2025/26, balance sheets of 14 October 2026.
In week 42 ending 19 October 2026, 22% of French grain corn area was in good or very good condition according to CéréObs (FranceAgriMer), against 60% in week 42 of 2025; 51% is poor or very poor.
As of 19 October 2026, the corn harvest was 97% complete, against a 60% five-year average and 72% a year earlier.
CéréObs stops updating a region's crop conditions once its harvest reaches 50%: the rating above is largely frozen.
The European Commission's JRC MARS bulletin of 28 September 2026 projects a French grain corn yield of 6.45 t/ha, 29% below the five-year average (9.07 t/ha).
Soft wheat: 65% of area in good or very good condition at the last rating of the season, week ending 27 July 2026 (CéréObs).
Region by region and week by week: CéréObs crop conditions.
Gauge: ending stocks as a share of total use, 0 to 30%.
Soft wheat: 2026/27 ending stocks projected at 2,714 kt, 9.4% of total use (28,954 kt), about 34 days of use, 293 kt lower than in the 16 September 2026 balance. Exports to non-EU countries would reach 6,500 kt (7,449 kt in 2025/26), exports to the EU 6,970 kt (7,848 kt).
Barley: 2026/27 ending stocks projected at 1,507 kt, 16.7% of total use (9,027 kt), about 61 days of use, 80 kt lower than in the 16 September 2026 balance.
Grain corn: 2026/27 ending stocks projected at 1,131 kt, 14.4% of total use (7,834 kt), about 53 days of use, 327 kt lower than in the 16 September 2026 balance. Imports would rise to 800 kt (434 kt in 2025/26).
Durum wheat: 2026/27 ending stocks projected at 220 kt, 17.3% of total use (1,274 kt), about 63 days of use, 2 kt lower than in the 16 September 2026 balance.
A balance sheet sets supply (opening stocks, production, imports) against use (domestic use, exports to the EU and to non-EU countries). What remains is the ending stock, which becomes the next season's opening stock.
The stocks-to-use ratio divides ending stocks by total use, exports included. Days of use turn it into a duration: ending stocks divided by the season's total use, multiplied by 365 (GrainDecision calculation).
FranceAgriMer's grain balance sheets cover a marketing year from 1 July to 30 June. They give a projection for the current season and provisional figures for the previous one, revised from one balance to the next.
28.9 Mt of soft wheat according to FranceAgriMer (balance of 14 October 2026), against 30.5 Mt in 2025.
The JRC MARS bulletin of 28 September 2026 (vol. 34, no. 8) calls it a "record-low season for summer crops" in France: repeated heatwaves and drought from June to early August, late-August rain that came too late, and a corn harvest that started exceptionally early. FranceAgriMer projects 6.2 Mt against 11.6 Mt in 2025.
FranceAgriMer's crop condition survey. Each crop's area is split into five categories, from very poor to very good; the indicator is the share in good or very good condition, and the France average weights regions by their tonnage.
2,714 kt for 2026/27, 9.4% of total use, in the FranceAgriMer balance of 14 October 2026.