Global supplyLatest data: 26 Oct 2026

Global supply

Stocks, yields and export flows by crop and origin.

Wheat

Euronext soft wheat · WASDE · JRC MARS · NASS conditions · Ukraine exports

See also the USDA WASDE balance sheets and Euronext wheat prices.

Season overview

World production822.4 Mt▼ -22.0 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World ending stocks276.0 Mt▼ -3.9 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
Global stocks-to-use33.3%▼ -0.6 pt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World exports209.0 Mt▼ -17.7 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Additional indicators

US conditions (G/E)26.0%NASS · 5 Jul 2026
FR conditions (G/VG)65.0%CéréObs · 27 Jul 2026
EU yield forecast5.88 t/ha= 0.0% vs 5-year averageJRC MARS · 24 Aug 2026
Ukraine cumulative exports3.5 MtMinAgro (Ukraine) · 26 Oct 2026
Russia + Ukraine exports62.0 MtUSDA PSD · Published 10 Jul 2026
JRC MARS EU yield trajectory▼ -2.8% since 27 Apr 2026
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JRC MARS EU yield trajectory
BulletinForecast yield5-year average
27 Apr 20266.055.86
18 May 20266.015.87
22 Jun 20266.005.87
27 Jul 20265.885.88
24 Aug 20265.885.88

JRC MARS · 24 Aug 2026

World production and stock-to-use ratio

Show data table
World production and stock-to-use ratio, Wheat, by season
SeasonWorld production (Mt)Global stocks-to-use (%)
2007/08611.720.9%
2008/09684.326.5%
2009/10687.531.2%
2010/11650.330.5%
2011/12698.728.7%
2012/13660.826.6%
2013/14718.128.8%
2014/15732.131.9%
2015/16739.034.6%
2016/17757.336.3%
2017/18760.338.8%
2018/19729.938.7%
2019/20759.340.0%
2020/21772.836.3%
2021/22780.834.8%
2022/23790.534.7%
2023/24791.533.9%
2024/25799.332.0%
2025/26844.434.0%
2026/27822.433.3%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Stock to use ratio

33.3%10th lowest of the last 20 seasonsPrevious season: 34.0%
Current valuePrevious season

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Production by origin

Show data table
Wheat production by origin, 2026/27 season
OriginProduction (Mt)Share (%)
China141.017.1%
European Union133.016.2%
India121.014.7%
Russia88.010.7%
United States41.75.1%
Canada36.54.4%
Australia31.03.8%
Ukraine26.03.2%
Argentina21.52.6%
Brazil5.80.7%
Paraguay1.20.1%
Rest of the world175.621.4%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Corn

WASDE · Brazil harvest (CONAB) · NASS conditions · FGIS trade flow

See also the USDA WASDE balance sheets and Euronext corn prices.

Season overview

World production1,293.8 Mt▼ -32.9 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World ending stocks280.4 Mt▼ -22.9 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
Global stocks-to-use21.2%▼ -1.7 pt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World exports210.7 Mt▼ -6.3 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Additional indicators

Brazil harvest progress-
US conditions (G/E)56.0%NASS · 18 Oct 2026
FR conditions (G/VG)22.0%CéréObs · 19 Oct 2026
US export pace97.7%vs prior yearFGIS · 15 Oct 2026
Russia + Ukraine exports-
JRC MARS France yield trajectory▼ -28.7% since 18 May 2026
Show data table
JRC MARS France yield trajectory
BulletinForecast yield5-year average
18 May 20269.049.07
22 Jun 20268.879.07
27 Jul 20267.709.07
24 Aug 20266.509.07
28 Sept 20266.459.07

JRC MARS · 28 Sept 2026

2nd crop corn planting progress in Brazil (%)

CONAB · 28 Aug 2026

World production and stock-to-use ratio

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World production and stock-to-use ratio, Corn, by season
SeasonWorld production (Mt)Global stocks-to-use (%)
2007/08798.516.0%
2008/09806.317.1%
2009/10833.715.7%
2010/11849.213.3%
2011/12910.413.6%
2012/13903.316.5%
2013/141,033.822.4%
2014/151,061.028.1%
2015/161,021.231.7%
2016/171,129.432.1%
2017/181,087.331.2%
2018/191,132.928.5%
2019/201,128.227.6%
2020/211,134.425.8%
2021/221,221.026.1%
2022/231,165.726.0%
2023/241,231.125.8%
2024/251,231.423.7%
2025/261,326.723.0%
2026/271,293.821.2%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Stock to use ratio

21.2%7th lowest of the last 20 seasonsPrevious season: 23.0%
Current valuePrevious season

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Production by origin

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Corn production by origin, 2026/27 season
OriginProduction (Mt)Share (%)
United States407.331.5%
China307.023.7%
Brazil139.010.7%
Argentina55.04.3%
India50.03.9%
European Union48.03.7%
Ukraine31.82.5%
Canada16.81.3%
Russia16.51.3%
Paraguay5.50.4%
Australia0.40.0%
Rest of the world216.516.7%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Rapeseed / Canola

WASDE · Canada AAFC balance · NASS canola · JRC MARS

See also the USDA WASDE balance sheets and Euronext rapeseed prices.

Season overview

World production (2026/27)99.6 Mt▲ +4.0 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World ending stocks (2026/27)11.6 Mt▼ -0.3 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
Global stocks-to-use (2026/27)11.8%▼ -1.0 pt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World exports (2026/27)20.0 Mt▲ +2.0 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Additional indicators

Canada production (2026/27)22.1 MtAAFC · 20 Oct 2026
Canada ending stocks (2026/27)2.0 MtAAFC · 20 Oct 2026
EU yield forecast3.09 t/ha▼ -3.4% vs 5-year averageJRC MARS · 24 Aug 2026

World production and stock-to-use ratio

Show data table
World production and stock-to-use ratio, Rapeseed, by season
SeasonWorld production (Mt)Global stocks-to-use (%)
2007/0849.59.2%
2008/0958.513.9%
2009/1061.114.6%
2010/1161.215.2%
2011/1261.812.2%
2012/1363.810.3%
2013/1471.513.2%
2014/1570.912.3%
2015/1668.79.9%
2016/1770.37.9%
2017/1875.811.6%
2018/1973.713.8%
2019/2070.911.6%
2020/2175.410.5%
2021/2276.79.6%
2022/2389.912.7%
2023/2490.013.5%
2024/2586.311.2%
2025/2695.612.7%
2026/2799.611.8%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Stock to use ratio (2026/27)

11.8%10th lowest of the last 20 seasonsPrevious season: 12.7%
Current valuePrevious season

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Production by origin (2026/27)

Show data table
Rapeseed production by origin, 2026/27 season
OriginProduction (Mt)Share (%)
Canada22.522.6%
European Union19.819.8%
China16.216.3%
India12.412.5%
Australia7.87.8%
Russia7.07.0%
Ukraine4.44.4%
United States2.52.5%
Paraguay0.10.1%
Argentina0.10.1%
Rest of the world6.97.0%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Soybeans

WASDE · Brazil harvest (CONAB) · NASS conditions · FGIS trade flow

See also the USDA WASDE balance sheets and soybean quotes.

Season overview

World production442.7 Mt▲ +13.5 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World ending stocks124.3 Mt▼ -1.2 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
Global stocks-to-use28.1%▼ -1.2 pt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World exports192.0 Mt▲ +5.2 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Additional indicators

Brazil harvest progress30.1%▲ vs N-1CONAB · 16 Oct 2026
US conditions (G/E)57.0%NASS · 11 Oct 2026
US harvest64.0%vs moy. 5 ans : 77.5%NASS · 18 Oct 2026
US export pace126.6%vs prior yearFGIS · 15 Oct 2026

Soybean harvest progress in Brazil (%)

CONAB · 16 Oct 2026

World production and stock-to-use ratio

Show data table
World production and stock-to-use ratio, Soybeans, by season
SeasonWorld production (Mt)Global stocks-to-use (%)
2007/08219.323.8%
2008/09212.320.5%
2009/10261.026.3%
2010/11265.129.1%
2011/12241.222.4%
2012/13268.922.0%
2013/14283.322.9%
2014/15321.426.1%
2015/16316.125.2%
2016/17350.828.8%
2017/18343.629.3%
2018/19363.533.1%
2019/20341.726.4%
2020/21369.626.9%
2021/22360.525.6%
2022/23378.427.8%
2023/24396.430.0%
2024/25428.230.2%
2025/26429.229.3%
2026/27442.728.1%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Stock to use ratio

28.1%13th lowest of the last 20 seasonsPrevious season: 29.3%
Current valuePrevious season

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Production by origin

Show data table
Soybeans production by origin, 2026/27 season
OriginProduction (Mt)Share (%)
Brazil186.042.0%
United States124.228.0%
Argentina50.011.3%
China21.04.7%
Paraguay11.12.5%
India10.72.4%
Russia8.01.8%
Canada7.81.8%
Ukraine5.01.1%
European Union2.70.6%
Australia0.00.0%
Rest of the world16.23.7%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Barley

WASDE · NASS barley · CéréObs · JRC MARS · Black Sea

See also the USDA WASDE balance sheets and barley quotes.

Season overview

World production160.1 Mt▲ +5.6 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World ending stocks23.5 Mt▲ +2.7 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
Global stocks-to-use14.9%▲ +1.3 pt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026
World exports31.4 Mt▼ -4.0 Mt vs previous seasonUSDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Additional indicators

US conditions (G/E)53.0%NASS · 23 Aug 2026
FR conditions (G/VG)68.0%CéréObs · 13 Jul 2026
EU yield forecast5.02 t/ha▲ 0.4% vs 5-year averageJRC MARS · 24 Aug 2026
Russia + Ukraine exports6.1 MtUSDA PSD · Published 10 Jul 2026

World production and stock-to-use ratio

Show data table
World production and stock-to-use ratio, Barley, by season
SeasonWorld production (Mt)Global stocks-to-use (%)
2007/08133.015.4%
2008/09154.822.6%
2009/10150.825.0%
2010/11122.417.4%
2011/12133.116.1%
2012/13129.316.6%
2013/14144.417.6%
2014/15141.316.6%
2015/16149.317.2%
2016/17147.115.9%
2017/18143.315.0%
2018/19138.014.4%
2019/20159.113.9%
2020/21161.513.2%
2021/22145.012.5%
2022/23151.414.0%
2023/24143.315.2%
2024/25143.612.8%
2025/26154.513.6%
2026/27160.114.9%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Stock to use ratio

14.9%8th lowest of the last 20 seasonsPrevious season: 13.6%
Current valuePrevious season

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

Production by origin

Show data table
Barley production by origin, 2026/27 season
OriginProduction (Mt)Share (%)
European Union52.232.6%
Russia19.512.2%
Australia17.110.7%
Canada10.06.2%
Ukraine6.64.1%
Argentina5.13.2%
United States2.51.6%
China2.31.4%
India1.81.1%
Brazil0.60.4%
Rest of the world42.426.5%

USDA · Published 9 Oct 2026

© 2026 GrainDecision · Data: USDA WASDE, USDA NASS, USDA FGIS, USDA PSD, JRC MARS, CONAB, AAFC, FranceAgriMer CéréObs, MinAgro (Ukraine)

Methodology

Ending stocks are the amount of grain left over at the close of the marketing year, once production, imports, consumption and exports have all been accounted for. They act as the safety margin available before the next harvest: the higher they are, the more room the market has to absorb a production shortfall or an unexpected rise in demand.

The stock-to-use ratio compares these ending stocks to the season's annual consumption. Expressed as a percentage, it lets crops with very different volumes be compared on the same relative scale, and shows over time whether reserves are tightening or rebuilding from one season to the next.

Production by origin is best read as shares rather than absolute volumes, because what matters for the market balance is each major producing region's relative contribution. An origin whose share falls, even if its volume still grows in absolute terms, weighs less on world supply than an origin whose share is rising.